lanthanides.io

Pricing intelligence for rare earths, rare metals & semiconductor materials

Recent News

  • In Force Sm Gd Tb Dy Lu Sc Y Ho Tm Eu Er Yb
    China's invisible rare earth wall: why suspended controls don't mean available supply

    Analysis of the six-layer domestic regulatory architecture — production quotas, SOE duopoly, mandatory traceability, customs enforcement, VAT structure, and regulatory ambiguity — that constrains rare earth trade regardless of whether MOFCOM export controls are formally active. Heavy REE mining quotas frozen at 19,150 t for six years; 80.7% of historical thulium supply was illegally produced; customs enforcement cases up 248% in 2025.

    State Council Order No. 785, Rare Earth Management Regulations Zhang et al., Journal of Industrial Ecology, 2024 MOFCOM/GAC enforcement data, 2025
  • In Force
    China sanctions 15 Japanese defence entities

    MOFCOM designates 15 Japanese companies as "unreliable entities," prohibiting export of controlled items (including all dual-use minerals). Retaliatory measure following Japan's Jan 2026 prohibition order targeting Chinese semiconductor firms.

    MOFCOM Announcement No. 17 of 2026 Reuters, 'China retaliates with sanctions on Japanese defence firms,' 24 Feb 2026
  • In Force Ga Ge Sb W Te Bi Mo In Sm Gd Tb Dy Lu Sc Y
    Japan prohibited from receiving Chinese dual-use exports

    China prohibits export of dual-use items to Japan, citing Japan's restrictions on semiconductor equipment to China. Covers gallium, germanium, antimony, rare earths, and all items on China's dual-use export control list. First country-wide prohibition order since the US ban in Dec 2024.

    MOFCOM Announcement No. 1 of 2026 Japan METI semiconductor export controls, effective Jul 2023, expanded Dec 2025
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Key Developments

7 REE export licences required (Sm, Gd, Tb, Dy, Lu, Sc, Y) In Force

Metals, alloys, oxides, compounds, and permanent magnets all covered. Licence review takes up to 45 working days with end-use certification

Sm Gd Tb Dy Lu Sc Y MOFCOM/GAC Ann. No. 18/2025
W, Te, Bi, Mo, In added to dual-use export control list In Force

Licence required for all exports. Te and W most impacted — Te supply is inelastic (Cu byproduct), W is 82% Chinese production

W Te Bi Mo In MOFCOM/GAC Ann. No. 10/2025
Ga/Ge/Sb US military end-use ban permanent In Force

Art. 1 of No. 46/2024 prohibits Ga, Ge, Sb exports for US military end-use. Never suspended. Blanket US ban (Art. 2) suspended until Nov 2026

Ga Ge Sb MOFCOM Ann. No. 46/2024, Art. 1
Oct 2025 escalation suspended until 28 Nov 2026 Suspended

All six Oct 2025 announcements (Nos. 55–58, 61, 62) paused. Underlying licence requirements remain in force. If not renewed, controls revert to pre-Oct 2025 baseline

Ga Ge Sb W Te Bi Mo In Sm Gd Tb Dy Lu Sc Y MOFCOM Ann. Nos. 70, 72/2025 — expires 28 Nov 2026
Japan prohibited from Chinese dual-use exports In Force

Country-wide prohibition on all controlled dual-use items to Japan, plus entity sanctions on 15 Japanese defence firms

Ga Ge Sb MOFCOM Ann. No. 1/2026 + No. 17/2026
Sb controls drove 200%+ price surge In Force

Antimony price rose from ~$12,000/t to >$38,000/t within 6 months of Aug 2024 controls. China produces ~48% of global supply

Sb MOFCOM/GAC Ann. No. 33/2024
Light Rare Earths Heavy Rare Earths Strategic & Rare Metals Semiconductor Metals
China export control active 🔥High demand alert
🔥 21
Sc Scandium
Retail $9705/kg Metal 2026-03
Bulk
39
Y Yttrium
Retail $7/kg Oxide 2026-03
Bulk
57
La Lanthanum
Retail $2/kg Oxide 2026-03
Bulk
58
Ce Cerium
Retail $2/kg Oxide 2026-03
Bulk
🔥 59
Pr Praseodymium
Retail $78/kg Oxide 2026-03
Bulk
🔥 60
Nd Neodymium
Retail $82/kg Oxide 2026-03
Bulk
62
Sm Samarium
Retail $3/kg Oxide 2026-03
Bulk
63
Eu Europium
Retail $28/kg Oxide 2026-03
Bulk
64
Gd Gadolinium
Retail $36/kg Oxide 2026-03
Bulk
🔥 65
Tb Terbium
Retail $4680/kg Metal 2026-03
Bulk
🔥 66
Dy Dysprosium
Retail $295/kg Oxide 2026-03
Bulk
🔥 67
Ho Holmium
Retail $2400/kg Metal 2026-03
Bulk $270/kg Metal 2026-03
68
Er Erbium
Retail $28/kg Oxide 2026-03
Bulk
🔥 69
Tm Thulium
Retail $1796/kg Metal 2026-03
Bulk $180/kg Oxide 2026-03
70
Yb Ytterbium
Retail $32/kg Oxide 2026-03
Bulk
🔥 71
Lu Lutetium
Retail $66700/kg Metal 2026-03
Bulk $707/kg Oxide 2026-03
🔥 3
Li Lithium
Retail $6500/kg Metal 2026-03
Bulk $10/kg Compound 2026-03
23
V Vanadium
Retail $402/kg Metal 2026-03
Bulk $12/kg Oxide 2026-03
🔥 27
Co Cobalt
Retail $540/kg Metal 2026-03
Bulk $24/kg Metal 2026-03
40
Zr Zirconium
Retail $120/kg Metal 2026-03
Bulk
🔥 41
Nb Niobium
Retail $1500/kg Metal 2026-03
Bulk $73/kg Alloy 2026-03
42
Mo Molybdenum
Retail $55/kg Powder 2026-03
Bulk
🔥 51
Sb Antimony
Retail $18/kg Metal 2026-03
Bulk
🔥 52
Te Tellurium
Retail $243/kg Metal 2026-03
Bulk $112/kg Metal 2026-03
🔥 73
Ta Tantalum
Retail $2800/kg Metal 2026-03
Bulk $280/kg Metal 2026-03
🔥 74
W Tungsten
Retail $45/kg Powder 2026-03
Bulk
83
Bi Bismuth
Retail $11/kg Metal 2026-03
Bulk
🔥 31
Ga Gallium
Retail $350/kg Metal 2026-03
Bulk
🔥 32
Ge Germanium
Retail $1200/kg Metal 2026-03
Bulk
34
Se Selenium
Retail $20/kg Powder 2026-03
Bulk
🔥 49
In Indium
Retail $260/kg Metal 2026-03
Bulk